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How Amazon and Google are toppling the Apple fortress

28 October 2012

From VatorNews:

Apple’s been having an odd year with lots of ups and downs.  And then there was yesterday’s earnings call.  Apple—once again—fell short of analysts’ expectations.  This would make the third quarter since Tim Cook became CEO that Apple failed to wow with larger-than-life sales and profits.  Worse—the company is offering very conservative guidance for next quarter—the holiday quarter—which is typically the quarter in which Apple shareholders do the money dance.

. . . .

Tim Cook’s ascension to the role of CEO happened to coincide with Amazon’s release of its own super-low-cost tablet, the Kindle Fire.

Apple’s been stalwart in insisting that low-priced Android tablets have not been eating into iPad sales, and for the most part, this actually seems to be true.

. . . .

So, yes, Apple is still the biggest kid on the playground. But Tim Cook made an interesting comment in yesterday’s call that’s worth noting.

When the company delivered its low guidance for next quarter—diluted EPS of $11.75 on revenue of $52 billion, even though it made $13.87 on revenue of $46.33 billion in the last holiday quarter—one analyst pointed out that if Apple only makes $11.75, it will be the first time in years that the company has had a year-over-year decline in the holiday quarter. Apple is counting on high iPad Mini sales, but CFO Peter Oppenheimer explained that at the low(ish) price point of $329, the margins are a lot lower than usual for Apple.

Tim Cook chimed in that the team is “managing the company for the long haul.”

In other words, Apple is having to sacrifice its high margins to keep pace with low-priced tablets from Amazon and Google—who are producing their tablets at breakeven costs, because they’re not hardware companies. Their tablets are designed to further their real bottom line: content, in Amazon’s case, and ad sales, in Google’s case.

. . . .

Have Apple’s soaring stock prices been a direct result of the company’s ownership—more or less—of the tablet market and its high margins?

Since the Kindle Fire hit the scene, Apple’s sales and profits haven’t been doing as well as expected.

. . . .

But the fact remains that tablets aren’t necessary the way phones are. The iPhone 5 saw high sales this quarter because people need phones. Tablets are uber convenient if you need to fire off a quick email or read the paper, but they’re not really necessary to have if your car breaks down.

So consumers aren’t going to buy tablets the same way that they buy smartphones—and $500 is a lot to spend on a luxury item. The iPad mini is cheaper, but still—why spend $329 when you can spend $199 on something that functions pretty well and you plan to use recreationally?

Link to the rest at VatorNews

Amazon, Apple, Tablets

2 Comments to “How Amazon and Google are toppling the Apple fortress”

  1. I consider an iPhone a luxury item, but since most people buy them with plans the cost gets lost in the monthly charge. I (and several people I know) manage with feature phones just fine. We use pay as you go plans, because we just can’t justify the cost of a smart phone.

    However, I did buy an iPad last spring. I went for a refurbished iPad 2 and I also consider it a luxury item. A couple of days ago I noticed a ding on the frame near the corner. I pointed out the owie to my husband and he reminded me what the iPad would like if he were using it. I backed out of the room with the iPad cuddled protectively against my bosom. (As I write this, the basic 3rd gen iPad is going for $379 at the Apple website.)

  2. I find it fun watching Apple, from sometime in the early pre-mac days. Jobs was very centralized and every time he vanished from running the place it went downhill. The outlook is quite bleak now that there is no opportunity for him to return and save them again.

    Last week Apple management realized that those Samsung guys they chased with patents about rounded corners had told Apple’s purchasing department there are problems getting shipments for glass screens. I think Apple is scrambling ahead of the holidays.

    In terms of computing costs.. $500?.. take a look at the Raspberry Pi computer. I can run my TV at 1080p to watch movies, or do some desktop work, and it’s $35 and the size of a deck of playing cards. No it won’t compete with my laptop (that runs Linux). But I have two more on order.

    India has a project to create a $75 tablet to use for education and the hardware is getting close to do that at that price. And this work will apply in the phone market.

    In the interim, I’m looking to upgrade from my older Black Berry to this system:
    http://www.ubuntu.com/devices/android

    So could Apple be in trouble?…

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