Artificial intelligence will reach human levels by around 2029. Follow that out further to, say, 2045, we will have multiplied the intelligence, the human biological machine intelligence of our civilization a billion-fold.
Ray Kurzweil
Artificial intelligence will reach human levels
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Until someone tells us what intelligence is, how would we know if any observed phenomenon is the result of intelligence or something else? I observe my calculator kicking out cube roots. Intelligence or something else?
And just for fun, maybe we aren’t intelligent either, but just have a lot of the “something else?”
No maybe about it.
Intelligence is about problem solving and what humans are best at is creating problems.
AI algorithms can perform some very specialized, highly complex things with a training protocol. We are still a very, very long way off from realizing the sort of AI you read about in science fiction novels, if we ever can achieve it. Though I suppose if you could model a brain down to its bio-chemical reactions…
…You’d still have to model the rest of the body chemistry to account for the other chemicals that impact the brain like endorphins , etc…
Otherwise you’d have an emotionless computer.
Those we can do right now.
But we can’t do a computer capable of independent thought and ability to learn things it hasn’t been programmed to handle, emotion or no. And an emotional computer is of little value to the people who are working on a generalized AI, Kurzweil and other transhumanists excepted.
Kurzweil has been predicting this for decades now, and his original target dates, if I recall, went by a long time ago. I advise against taking his pronouncements on this subject, as the necessary grains of salt might kill you.
Does this mean you accept his pronouncements on some *other* subject? 😉
In the distant past, he had some sound things to say about designing synthesizers.
Yup.
He hasn’t been right about anything since.
Rather like Negroponte.
But they keep bloviating and the clueless media keeps on quoting him.
I always liked that saying, “Artificial Intelligence is no match for Natural Stupidity”.
Agreed, L.